Evidence, Assumptions, and Calculation Framework
Target Audience
Present all quantitative assumptions, statistics, and metrics used by Wildlife Shield™ Systems in a transparent, defensible, and procurement-ready format.
Observed / Reported Data
Modeled Estimates
Conservative Planning Assumptions
Wildlife Shield™ Systems targets unfenced, high-risk rural corridors where wildlife-vehicle collisions occur repeatedly each year.
Baseline Planning Assumptions
5–10 Collisions
per kilometre per year
(high-risk corridor range)
These values are derived from:
These figures represent corridor-level averages, not guarantees.
Wildlife Shield™ does not assume full mitigation.
Conservative Planning Assumptions
2–3 Collisions Avoided
per kilometre per year
This represents partial risk reduction consistent with:
Performance is evaluated using corridor-level trends over time, not individual events.
Wildlife Shield™ Systems is priced as an annual corridor service.
Service Cost
Approx. $2,500
per kilometre per year (indicative service cost)
This includes:
Pricing is benchmarked against other roadside maintenance services and reflects a fraction of avoided system costs.
Avoided costs are calculated using conservative ranges commonly used by transportation agencies and insurers.
Vehicle repair and total loss payouts
Claims processing and administration
$40,000 – $90,000
per km per year
Ambulance dispatch
Emergency services
Road closures and traffic control
$7,000 – $15,000
per km per year
Commercial vehicle downtime • Repair logistics • Driver safety incidents
$15,000 – $50,000
per km per year
Wildlife Shield™ incorporates fatality risk weighting using Transport Canada–aligned frameworks.
Conservative Assumptions
Fatality probability per wildlife collision
~0.2%
Value of Statistical Life (VSL)
~$9M CAD
Transport Canada / Treasury Board guidance
Using These Assumptions
Avoided fatality risk
0.004–0.006 fatalities per km per year
Annual fatality-risk value avoided
$36,000 – $54,000 per km per year
This method values fractional risk reduction, consistent with public-sector safety economics.
Combining all avoided cost categories:
Total Avoided System Cost
$100,000 – $228,000+
per kilometre per year
At a service cost of Approx. $2,500 per kilometre per year (indicative service cost):
Conservative System ROI
35× – 90×
return on investment
ROI Calculation Method
Total Avoided System Cost
$100k–$228k+
Annual Service Cost
Approx. $2,500
(indicative service cost)
ROI
35×–90×
No Assumptions Of:
Wildlife Shield™ reaches break-even by preventing:
Break-Even Threshold
~1 Collision
per kilometre per year
Average Wildlife-Vehicle Collision Costs
Average wildlife-vehicle collision costs are commonly estimated at:
$10,000 – $50,000
per incident, depending on severity
Key Insight
Preventing a single collision fully offsets annual service cost.
Wildlife-vehicle collisions recur annually on high-risk corridors.
Because Wildlife Shield™ is an annual service, avoided costs compound over time.
Five-Year Illustrative Impact (Per km)
Annual Avoided Cost
$100,000+
Five-Year Cumulative Avoided Cost
$500,000+
per kilometre
This Compounding Effect is Central To:
Metrics presented are based on:
Official reporting data from transportation authorities
Transportation agency cost estimation frameworks
Standard actuarial cost estimates for collision claims
Safety valuation methodologies and VSL guidance
Proprietary modeling combining observed data with conservative assumptions
Defensibility Commitment
All figures are intentionally conservative and designed for internal review, audit, and procurement defensibility. Every metric is either sourced from established public-sector frameworks or derived using transparent assumptions appropriate for infrastructure decision-making.
This Statistics & Metrics framework exists to make Wildlife Shield™ Systems reviewable, auditable, and defensible.
Every figure is either sourced from established public-sector frameworks or derived using conservative, transparent assumptions appropriate for infrastructure decision-making.
All assumptions clearly documented and traceable
Based on established public-sector methodologies
Conservative assumptions designed for procurement